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《ASPO》〔Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas (ASPO) 〕
【参考】Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_for_the_Study_of_Peak_Oil_and_Gas（削除）
- Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas（ASPO）⇒ASPO
International
石油ピークに関する研究連盟。
『What is Peak Oil?
Colin Campbell: "The term Peak Oil refers the maximum rate
of the production of oil in any area under consideration, recognising
that it is a finite natural resource, subject to depletion."』
『ASPO is a network of scientists, affiliated with
European institutions and universities, having an interest in
determining the date and impact of the peak and decline of the
world's production of oil and gas, due to resource constraints.』
・Campbell & Laherrrer Scientific American March
1998 The end of cheap
oil
・Newsletters
・ASPO
8 International Peak Oil Conference（2009-10-11～10-13、
in Denver, Colorado, USA）
・ASPO
7 Conference in Barcelona／ASPO-USA
2008 World Oil Conference
・ASPO
6 - Ireland
・ASPO
5 - Italy
・IWOOD
2005 - Lisbon
・IWOOD
2004 - Berlin
・IWOOD
2003 - Paris
・IWOOD
2002 - Uppsala
⑤5゜
International Conference on Oil and Gas Depletion (ASPO-5) San
Rossore (Italy), 18-19, July 2006
④IV
International Workshop on Oil and Gas Depletion Lisbon (Portugal),
19-20 May, 2005
③Proceedings
of the 3rd International Workshop On Oil & Gas Depletion
Berlin (Germany), May 25-26, 2004
②Proceedings
of the 2nd International Workshop On Oil Depletion Paris,
26 and 27 May, 2003
ASPO Meeting in Paris 26th and 27th May 2003, iwood2003 2nd International Workshop On Oil Depletion（2003年）
http://www.peakoil.net/iwood2003/MatSim.html
①Proceedings
of the First Interna- tional Workshop on Oil Depletion Uppsala,
Sweden, May 2002
- ASPO Conference 2012 http://www.aspo2012.at/
- ASPO USA http://peak-oil.org/
Peak Oil Review http://peak-oil.org/category/peak-oil-review/
Association for the Study of Peak Oil USA。
【参考】2006 Boston ASPO World Oil Conference
http://www.peak-oil-news.info/2006-boston-aspo-world-oil-conference/
Peak Oil Newsの中のページ。
- ASPO Australia http://www.aspo-australia.org.au/
- ASPO Ireland http://www.aspoireland.org/
|
【ハバート】〔（Marion King Hubbert：1903-1989）：米国の石油地質家。米国の石油生産量のピーク年を予想し、それがほぼ的中した。後年、彼が用いた手法によって世界の石油資源についての議論が行われるようになった〕
【参考】M. King Hubbert（1903～1989年：米国の地質学者・地球物理学者） http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M._King_Hubbert
- M. King Hubbert http://hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/
The Coming Global Oil Crisisの中のページ。
●Hubbert Bibliography Compilation Project http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/Bibliography.htm
●M. King Hubbert and his Successors: A Hubbert Peak Half-Bibliography
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/BibliographyKuykendall53.pdf
Chris Kuykendall氏による〔ASPO-USA Denver World Oil Conference
Version (Draft #53) November 4, 2005〕。2005年11月4日、124p。【見る→】
- 《1982》Techniques of prediction as applied to production
of oil and gas. MBS Special Publication, USDepartment
of Commerce, 631, 1-121.
- 《1979》Hubbert estimates from 1856 to 1974 of US oil and
gas. In: Grenon,M.(ed.) Methods and Models for Assessing
Energy Resources, Pergamon Press, Oxford.
- 《1976》Exponential Growth as a Transient Phenomenon in
Human History http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/wwf1976/
Presented before a World Wildlife Fund conference, San Francisco,
California, 1976。Reprinted in Margaret A. Strom, ed., Societal
Issues, Scientific Viewpoints, pp. 75-84。New York: American Institute
of Physics, 1987。Reprinted also in Herman E. Daly and Kenneth
N. Townsend, eds., Valuing the Earth: Economics, Ecology, Ethics,
pp. 113-126。Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press, 1993。
- 《1975》Hubbert Estimates from 1956 to 1974 of U.S. Oil and Gas⇒Methods and Models for Assessing Energy Resources http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/MethodsAndModels.pdf
First IIASA Conference on Energy Resources,
May 20-21, 1975。Published in Michel Grenon, ed., Methods and
Models for Assessing Energy Resources, pp. 370-383。New York:
Pergamon Press, 1979。
- 《1974》Hubbert on the Nature of Growth by M. King Hubbert
Energy Bulletinの中のページ。In
National Energy Conservation Policy Act of 1974, hearings before
the Subcommittee on the Environment, U.S. House Committee on
Interior and Insular Affairs, Subcommittee on the Environment,
93rd Congress, 2nd Session, June 6, 1974, pp. 51-78。Serial No.
93-55。Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1974。
⇒M. King Hubbert on the Nature of Growth http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/onthenatureofgrowth.pdf
- 《1974》U.S. Energy Resources: a review as of 1972.
U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington.
- 《1971》The Energy Resources of the Earth http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/energypower/
Scientific American 225 (September 1971), pp.
60-70。
- 《1969》Resources and Man http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/ResourcesAndMan.pdf
In National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council, Committee
on Resources and Man, Resources and Man: A Study and Recommendations,
pp. 157-242。San Francisco: W.H. Freeman, 1969。
- 《1968》Degree of advancement of petroleum exploration in
United States; Natural gases of North America. Part 4. Papers
of general scope. Memoir AAPG, 9(2), 2149-2170.
- 《1967》Degree of advancement of petroleum exploration in
United States. AAPG Bull., 51, 2207-2227.
- 《1966》Reply to J.M.Ryan. AAPG Bull., 18,
284-286.
- 《1962》Energy Resources http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/EnergyResources.pdf
A Report to the Committee on Natural Resources of the National
Academy of Sciences-National Research Counci。Publication 1000-D。Washington:
National Academy of Sciences-National Research Council, 1962。
- 《1959》Techniques of Prediction with Application to the
Petroleum Industry
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/TechniquesOfPrediction.pdf
Presented at the 44th annual meeting, American Association of
Petroleum Geologists, Dallas, Texas, March 17, 1959, Publication
204。Houston: Shell Development Company, Exploration and Production
Research Division, 1959。Copied from Box 137, M. King Hubbert
Collection, American Heritage Center, University of Wyoming,
Laramie, Wyoming。
- ●《1956》Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/1956/1956.pdf
Presented before the Spring Meeting of the Southern District
Division of Production, American Petroleum Institute, San Antonio,
Texas, March 8, 1956, Publication No. 95, 1-40p。Houston: Shell
Development Company, Exploration and Production Research Division,
1956。
Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels http://www.resilience.org/stories/2006-03-08/nuclear-energy-and-fossil-fuels
Published on 8 Mar 2006 by Energy
Bulletin. Archived on 8 Mar 2006。【見る→】
【キャンベル】〔（Colin J. Campbell：1931-）：英国の石油地質家。ハバートの手法を用いて石油資源の将来についての議論を推進する。ASPO（Association
for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas）を設立する〕
【参考】Colin Campbell (geologist)（1931～：英国の石油地質学者） http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colin_Campbell_(geologist)
【ロレール】〔（Jean H. Laherrère：1931-）：ハバートの手法を発展させる〕
【参考】Jean H. Laherrere http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Jean_H._Laherrere
SourceWatchの中のページ。
- Jean Laherrère http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/
The Coming Global Energy
Crisisの中のページ。
（Bibliography: Jean Laherrère） http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/bibliography.pdf
- 《2007》Uncertainty of data and forecasts for fossil
fuels http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/Castilla200704.pdf
and annex on Climate Change⇒Uncertainty of data and forecasts
for fossil fuels
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/climatechange200704.pdf
at Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha [2007 April 24]
- 《2007》Petroleum Africa⇒What’s Wrong with Reserves?
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/PetroleumAfrica200704.pdf
[2007 April]
- 《2007》comments on Petroleum reserves and resources
classification, definitions and guidelines ⇒Revised Reserves
and Resources Guidelines Available for Industry Review
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/Com-SPE-2007.pdf
relating to the SPE draft of November 2006 for the SPE/WPC 1997
task force on reserve definition, under the lead of Anibal Martinez
[2007 January 31]
- 《2007》Energy Dragons Rising: Global Energy Governance
and the Rise of China and India⇒Global Public Policy Institute
Energy Dragons Rising Global Energy Governance and the Rise of
China and India
Uncertainty of oil & gas supply and demand? http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/GPPI200701.pdf
Uncertainty of oil & gas supply and demand? Global Public
Policy Institute, Potsdam [2007 January 18,19]
- 《2006》Fossil fuels: what future? http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/Beijing20061009.pdf
Global Dialogue on Energy Security, The Dialogue International
Policy Institute, China Institute of International Studies, Beijing
[2006 October 16-17]
- 《2006》Oil and gas: what future? http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/groningen.pdf
Groningen [2006 November 21]
- 《2006》Uncertainty on data and forecasts http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/ASPO2006-JL-long.pdf
ASPO 5, San Rossore Italy, Association for the Study of Peak
Oil [2006 July 18-19] 。
- 《2006》
Peak oil and related peaks!（part 1） http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/Evora-part1.pdf
Peak oil and related peaks!（part 2） http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/Evora-part2.pdf
Evora University [2006 May 8] 。
- 《2006》When will oil production decline significantly? http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/EGUVienna2006.pdf
European Geosciences Union, Vienna [2006 April 3] 。
- 《2006》Grandfather Economic Energy Report - Table of
Contents -
- Energy trends: consumption, production, imports, reserves - http://mwhodges.home.att.net/energy/table.htm
Michael Hodges (USA) and Jean Laherrère(France) の両氏による。
【参考】
・Grandfather Economic Report series Economic Energy Report http://grandfather-economic-report.com/energy.htm
Grandfather Economic Report series- Table of Contents - http://grandfather-economic-report.com/table.htm
- 《2005》Peak oil and other peaks http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/CERN200510.pdf
Presentation to the CERN meeting [2005 October 3] 。
- 《2005》Review on Oil Shale Data http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/OilShaleReview200509.pdf
[2005 September] 。
- 《2005》Fossil Fuels Future Production http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/bucharest.pdf
Romania Oil & Gas Congress, Bucharest [2005 March 22-24]
。
- 《2004》Comments on Hubbert's papers http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/CommentsHubbert2004Nov.pdf
At the American Heritage Center, University of Wyoming。
- 《2004》Present and future energy problems http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/HEC-long.pdf
HEC MBA Sustainable Development Seminar [2004 September 8] 。
- 《2004》Natural gas future supply http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/IIASA2004.pdf
IIASA-IEW [2004 June 22-24] 。
- 《2004》Future of natural gas supply http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/ASPO2004JL.pdf
Association for the Study of Peak Oil [2004 May] 。
- 《2003》How to estimate future oil supply and oil demand?
http://www.slideshare.net/BPfanpage/how-to-estimate-future-oil-supply-and-oil-demand
International conference on Oil Demand, Production and Costs
- Prospects for the Future。The Danish Technology Council and
the Danish Society of Engineers, Copenhagen, IDA Conference Centre
[2003 December 10] 。
- 《2003》Oil and Natural Gas Resource Assessment: Production
Growth Cycle Models
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/encyclopediaofenergy.doc
Encyclopedia of Energy, July 2003。
- 《2003》Modelling future oil production, population and
the economy
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/266479072_Modelling_future_oil_production_population_and_the_economy
ASPO Workshop in Paris, May 2003。
【参考】Modelling future oil production, population and the economy http://www.docin.com/p-1436843915.html
- 《2003》Future of oil supplies http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/zurich.pdf
Seminar Center of Energy Conversion, Zurich, May 7, 2003。
- 《2002》Hydrocarbons Resources: Forecast of
oil and gas supply to 2050
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/Petrotech090103.pdf
At Petrotech 2003 in New Delhi, January 9, 2003。
- 《2002》Do the last 6 years of production confirm the USGS
forecast for the period 1996-2025?
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/confusgs_27_08.pdf
August 2002。
- 《2002》Modelling future liquids production from extrapolation
of the past and from ultimates
http://multi-science.atypon.com/doi/pdf/10.1260/014459802321615090
International Workshop on Oil Depletion, Uppsala, Sweden, May
23, 2002。
- 《2002》Comments on the book: Hubbert’s peak: the impending
world oil shortage
http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/Deffeyes_comments.pdf
By K.S. Deffeyes, January 6, 2002。
- 《2001》Forecasting future production from past discovery http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/opec2001.pdf
Presented during the OPEC seminar in Vienna entitled "OPEC
and the Global Energy Balance: Towards a Sustainable Energy Future",
September 28, 2001。
- 《2001》Estimates of Oil Reserves https://ja.scribd.com/document/55367641/Estimates-of-Oil-Reserves
Presented at IIASA, June 19, 2001。
- 《2000》Is USGS 2000 Assessment Reliable? http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/usgs2000/
- 《1999》Reserve Growth: Technological Progress, or Bad Reporting
and Bad Arithmetic?
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/reservegrowth/
- 《1998》What goes up must come down: When will it peak? http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/ogj1998/
- 《1998》Evolution of "development lag" and "development
ratio"
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/238747198_Evolution_of_development_lag_and_development_ratio
- ●《1998》The end of cheap oil http://dieoff.org/page140.htm
Colin J. Campbell and Jean H. Laherrereによる。Scientific American,
March 1998。【見る→】
- 《1997》Distribution and Evolution of "Recovery Factor" http://www.dieoff.org/page183.pdf
- 《1997》Multi-Hubbert Modeling http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/multihub.htm
- 《1997》Future sources of crude oil supply and quality considerations http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/supply.htm
- 《1996》Upstream potential of the Middle East in the world
context http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/ibc.htm
【ロジスティック式】〔Logistic equation：ハバートの手法に用いられている理論〕
【正規分布】〔Normal distribution；ガウス分布（Gaussian
distribution）：ハバートの手法に用いられている理論〕
【対数正規分布】（Lognormal Distribution）
【コーシー分布】〔Cauchy distribution：連続型確率分布の一つ〕
【ジップの法則】〔Zipf's law：確率分布を表す方法の一つ〕
【べき乗法則】（Power law）
【パレートの法則】（Pareto principle）
【円錐曲線】（Conic section）
【正弦曲線】（Sinusoid）
【オイルショック（石油危機）】〔1973年の第四次中東戦争に関連した第一次オイルショックと、1978年のイラン革命に関連した第二次オイルショックを指す。OPECによる戦略的な石油輸出停止により、パニックが起こった〕
【ハーシュ・レポート】〔Peaking of World
Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation, and Risk Management：米国のRobert
L. Hirschによる報告書。ピーク・オイルの可能性やその緩和策などを検討したもの〕
【TEQｓ】〔Tradable Energy Quotas：
David Flemingにより開発された排出物とエネルギーの排出量取引制度〕
【その他】
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