『Abstract
Phosphorus (P) is an essential input into agriculture with no
substitute. Thus international and intertemporal P allocations
greatly impact food security which requires increased food production
for a growing world population. As high quality phosphorus mines
are being depleted, recycling gains importance and developed countries
explore new technologies for P recycling. We analyse the effects
of P recycling in developed countries on global extraction of
rock phosphates and the imports of developing countries. We build
a resource extraction model for a competitive fertilizer market
that reflects the fact that most developed countries have P-saturated
soils while soils in many developing countries are P-deficient.
Our model extends a simple cake eating problem. We consider two
types of countries that differ in demand and recycling options.
We find that P recycling in developed countries does not only
prolong the resource life-time, but it also increases the developing
countries' share of the resource.
Keywords: Non-renewable resources; Essential resources; Phosphate
mining; Recycling; Distribution of resources』
1. Introduction
2. The empirical basis
3. The model
4. Model results
5. Summary and concluding remarks
Acknowledgements
References