Fan,Y., Hu,S., Chen,D., Li,Y. and Shen,J.(2009): The evolution of phosphorus metabolism model in China. Journal of Cleaner Production, 17, 811-820.

『中国におけるリンの物質代謝モデルの発展』


Abstract
 It is important to analyze why phosphorus metabolism is unsustainable in China's modern industrial society. In this paper, the Substance Flow Analysis (SFA) approach is used to build different models of phosphorus metabolism for the following three periods: the prehuman period, traditional agricultural period and modern industrial period. Based on these models, the evolution process of phosphorus metabolism in China is analyzed from the viewpoint of its metabolic structure and intensity. The indices of intensity analysis involve phosphorus input, phosphorus circulation and recycling efficiency, phosphorus production and production efficiency, water phosphorus emission and water emission proportion, solid waste phosphorus output and solid waste discharge proportion. Though the analysis of the evolution process, the key factors that cause the lack of sustainability of phosphorus metabolism in China are identified, which can be summarized by four aspects: the increase of soil phosphorus accumulation, the increase of water phosphorus emission, the decrease of recycling efficiency and the decrease of production efficiency in croplands. Furthermore, the specific unsustainable processes of phosphor resources utilization in China are discussed. For these unsustainable processes, the relevant solutions for the phosphor resources crisis are given.

Keywords: Phosphor resource; Metabolism; Evolution; Substance Flow Analysis (SFA)』

1. Introduction
2. Modelling of the phosphorus metabolism network in China
 2.1. Phosphorus metabolism in the prehuman period
 2.2. Phosphorus metabolism in the traditional agricultural period
 2.3. Phosphorus metabolism in the modern industrial period
3. Evolution of phosphorus metabolism model in China
 3.1. Structure evolution
 3.2. Intensity evolution
4. Discussion and conclusion
  (1) Increase of soil phosphorus accumulation
  (2) Increase of water phosphorus emission
  (3) Decrease of recycling efficiency
  (4) Decrease of production efficiency of croplands
References


Fig. 3. Phosphorus metabolism network model of China in modern industrial period (kt).

〔Fan,Y., Hu,S., Chen,D., Li,Y. and Shen,J.(2009)によるThe evolution of phosphorus metabolism model in Chinaから〕

表9 現代産業期におけるリン物質代謝強度指数の値
  非耕作
土壌
非耕作
植物
非耕作
動物
リン産業 農耕地 農作物 Family
Animals
Scaled
Livestock
農村人口 都会人口
リン入力(1000トン/年) 9978 6570 657 5400 6526 4712 1267 2536 685 429
リン循環(1000トン/年) 8824 - - - 1840 - 0 0 - -
リサイクル効率(%) 88.4 - - - 28.2 - 0 0 - -
リン生産(1000トン/年) 6570 657 - 4768 4703 4481 39 56 - -
生産効率(%) 65.8 10.0 - 88.3 72.1 95.1 3.1 2.2 - -
水によるリン排出
(1000トン/年)
716 0 0 100 889 0 0 237 79 218
水排出割合(%) 7.2 0 0 1.9 13.6 0 0 9.3 11.5 50.8
固体廃物によるリン出力
(1000トン/年)
- 0 0 210 - 174 0 2080 244 190
固体廃物流出割合(%) - 0 0 3.9 - 3.7 0 82.0 35.6 44.3


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