『Summary
Crop production requires large amounts of green and blue water.
We develop the new global crop water model GCWM to compute consumptive
water use (evapotranspiration) and virtual water content (evapotranspiration
per harvested biomass) of crops at a spatial resolution of 5'
by 5', distinguishing 26 crop classes, and blue versus green water.
GCWM is based on the global land use data set MIRCA2000 that provides
monthly growing areas for 26 crop classes under rainfed and irrigated
conditions for the period 1998-2002 and represents multi-cropping.
By computing daily soil water balances, GCWM determines evapotranspiration
of blue and green water for each crop and grid cell. Cell-specific
crop production under both rainfed and irrigated conditions is
computed by downscaling average crop yields reported for 402 national
and sub-national statistical units, relating rainfed and irrigated
crop yields reported in census statistics to simulated ratios
of actual to potential crop evapotranspiration for rainfed crops.
By restricting water use of irrigated crops to green water only,
the potential production loss without any irrigation was computed.
For the period 1998-2002, the global value of total crop water
use was 6685 km3 yr-1, of which blue water
use was 1180 km3 yr-1, green water use of
irrigated crops was 919 km3 yr-1 and green
water use of rainfed crops was 4586 km3 yr-1.
Total crop water use was largest for rice (941 km3
yr-1), wheat (858 km3 yr-1) and
maize (722 km3 yr-1). The largest amounts
of blue water were used for rice (307 km3 yr-1)
and wheat (208 km3 yr-1). Blue water use
as percentage of total crop water use was highest for date palms
(85%), cotton (39%), citrus fruits (33%), rice (33%) and sugar
beets (32%), while for cassava, oil palm and cocoa, almost no
blue water was used. Average crop yield of irrigated cereals was
442 Mg km-2 while average yield of rainfed cereals
was only 266 Mg km-2. Average virtual water content
of cereal crops was 1109 m3 Mg-1 of green
water and 291 m3 Mg-1 of blue water, while
average crop water productivity of cereal crops was 714 g m-3.
If currently irrigated crops were not irrigated, global production
of dates, rice, cotton, citrus and sugar cane would decrease by
60%, 39%, 38%, 32% and 31%, respectively. Forty-three per cent
of cereal production was on irrigated land, and without irrigation,
cereal production on irrigated land would decrease by 47%, corresponding
to a 20% loss of total cereal production. The largest cereal production
losses would occur in Northern Africa (66%) and Southern Asia
(45%) while losses would be very low for Northern Europe (0.001%),
Western Europe (1.2%), Eastern Europe (1.5%) and Middle Africa
(1.6%). Uncertainties and limitations are discussed in the manuscript,
and a comparison of GCWM results to statistics or results of other
studies shows good agreement at the regional scale, but larger
differences for specific countries.
Keywords: Crop water requirement; Global crop water model; Virtual
water content; Irrigation water use; Crop production; Crop yield』
Introduction
Data and methods
Growing areas and cropping seasons
Climate and soil data
Modeling of crop-specific blue and green consumptive water uses
Modeling of irrigated and rainfed crop productions and potential
production losses without irrigation
Virtual water content and crop water productivity
Simulation protocol
Results
Crop water use of blue and green water
Crop yields, crop production and potential production losses
without irrigation
Virtual water content and crop water productivity
Discussion
Limitations and uncertainties
Input data
Method to compute reference crop evapotranspiration
Grouping of crops
Rice
Rooting depth
Optimal versus actual water use in irrigated agriculture
Method to compute potential production losses without irrigation
Model validation
Comparison to independent estimates of irrigation water withdrawals
and consumptive use
Comparison to estimates included in the water footprint of nations
(Arjen Hoekstra and colleagues)
Comparison to irrigated and rainfeld yields in developing countries
(FAO)
Comparison to independent data on crop water productivity
Future improvements of GCWM
Conclusions
References