『Abstract
We have used a total of 496 samples sites to calibrate a simple
regression model for calculating dissolved inorganic nutrient
fluxes via runoff to the ocean. The regression uses the logarithms
of runoff and human population as the independent variables and
estimates the logarithms of dissolved inorganic nitrogen and phosphorus
loading with R 2 values near 0.8. This predictive
capability is about the same as has been derived for total nutrient
loading with process-based models requiring more detailed information
on independent variables. We conclude that population and runoff
are robust proxies for the more detailed application, landscape
modification, and in-stream processing estimated by more process-based
models. The regression model has then been applied to a demonstration
data set of 1353 river catchments draining to the sea from the
North American continent south of the Canadian border. The geographic
extents of these basins were extracted from a 1-km digital elevation
model for North America, and both runoff and population were estimated
for each basin. Most of the basins (72% of the total) are smaller
than 103 km2, and both runoff and population
density are higher and more variable among small basins than among
larger ones. While total load to the ocean can probably be adequately
estimated from large systems only, analysis of the geographic
distribution of nutrient loading requires consideration of the
small basins, which can exhibit significant hydrologic and demographic
heterogeneity between systems over their range even within the
same geographic region. High-resolution regional and local analysis
is necessary for environmental assessment and management.
Key words: inorganic nutrient loading; population; runoff; catchment
size; North America』
Abbreviations
Introduction
Objectives
Materials and methods
Nutrient flux analysis
Data used
Regression analysis and comparison data
Analysis of spatial distribution of nutrient fluxes to the sea
Results
Basin sizes
Basin load regression equations
Demonstration basins
Discussion
Global analysis: estimated basin nitrogen loads
Basin size: effects and implications
Application and tests: the North America demonstration data
Summary and conclusions
References
|
|
|
Meybeck | 28 | Meybeck (1982); see also Smith et al. (2003) |
LOICZ | 136 | Smith et al. (2003) |
NAWQA | 175 | http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/nutrients/datasets/nutconc2000/ |
NRWQN | 77 | Smith and Maasdam (1994) and Maasdam and Smith (1994) |
BED | 80 | http://data.ecology.su.se/models/bed.htm |
|
|
|
|
|
Loading equations | ||||
Smith et al. (2003) |
|
0.81 |
|
|
This paper |
|
0.76 |
|
|
SPARROW (Smith et al. 1997) |
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
Yield equations | ||||
Smith et al. (2003) | 3.99+0.75xlog(run/km2)+0.35xlog(pers/km2) | 0.59 | 2.72+0.78xlog(run/km2)+0.36xlog(pers/km2) | 0.58 |
This paper | 4.03+0.69xlog(run/km2)+0.36xlog(pers/km2) | 0.44 | 2.43+0.63xlog(run/km2)+0.33xlog(pers/km2) | 0.38 |
In the cases of the results of Smith et al.(2003) and this paper, loading and regression are for dissolved inorganic N and P (DIN, DIP). For SPARROW, total N and P (TN, TP) loads are calculated. Correlations only are presented here for the SPARROW model loading estimates. (run = runoff (m3/year); pers = number of persons). |