『Abstract
Anomalies have been observed in radon content in soil gas from
three boreholes at the Orlica fault in the Krsko(sの頭にv)
basin, Slovenia. To distinguish the anomalies caused by environmental
parameters (air and soil temperature, barometric and soil air
pressure, rainfall) from those resulting solely from seismic activity,
the following approaches have been used. First, the seismic activity
data were eliminated from the dataset and then an artificial neural
network (ANN) with 5 inputs for environmental parameters and a
single output (radon concentration) was trained with the standard
backpropagation learning rule. Then the predictions of Rn concentrations
(Cp) generated with this ANN for the whole dataset were compared
to measurements (Cm) and three types of anomalies (CA - correct
anomaly, FA - false anomaly and NA - no anomaly) have been detected
in the signal |Cm/Cp-1| by varying five parameters describing
an anomaly within predefined intervals. An exhaustive search among
results was made to find the best ones and thus identifying the
best set of parameters. Finally, an attempt was made to shorten
the search procedure by training another ANN with numbers of anomalies
of each type in the input and five anomaly detection parameters
in the output. With these procedures we were able to correctly
predict 10 seismic events out of 13 within the 2-year period.
Keywords: Radon in soil gas; Environmental parameters; Earthquakes;
Correlation; Neural networks; Simulation』
1. Introduction
2. Experimental basis
3. Methodology of data analysis
3.1. Artificial neural networks
3.2. Identification anomalies of radon concentration
4. Results and discussion
4.1. Radon concentration prediction
4.2. Anomaly detection
5. Summary
Acknowledgment
References