『(Abstract)
　This paper analyzes a model depicting the trend of Chinese urbanization and explores relationships between urbanization and the supply and demand of major energy and mineral resources and between the gross domestic product (GDP) and the urbanization of China. Then it predicts China's supply and demand trends from 2005 to 2050. It is predicted that until 2010 China's GDP and urbanization will grow at high speed, slowing slightly yet still growing strongly on to 2050. It is also argues that the supply of cement, steel, aluminum and coal and the demand of timber, cement and steel have significant effects on urbanization. The paper concludes that China will inevitably face a long shortage of resources if future urbanization is faster than predicted, i.e., China cannot meet the targets of the current urbanization strategy while continuing current energy and resource consumption for its industrialization and modernization.

Keywords: urbanization; modernization; energy; natural resources; supply and demand; utilization』

Introduction
Analyses of China's urbanization development model and evolution
The development trend of China's urbanization under restrictions of modernization
The trend of supply and demand for major energy and resources under restrictions of urbanization and modernization
The actual discrepancy between supply and demand for major energy and resources in China
Conclusion and the way forward
Acknowledgements
Appendix A. The forecast process and data table of GDP in China, using the twice-accumulative addition and adverse twice-accumulative subtraction of the grey forecasting method
Appendix B. The graphic patterns of the relationships between urbanization and output of major energy and resources in China
Appendix C. The graphic patterns of the relationships between urbanization and consumption of major energy and resources in China
Appendix D. Brief introduction to original grey forecasting model
References