Holz,C.A.(2004): Deconstructing China's GDP statistics. China Economic Review, 15, 164-202.

『中国のGDP統計を解体する』


Abstract
 China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has on repeated occasions explained in great detail how its GDP statistics are derived from the underlying data. Based on these explanations, this article reconstructs Chinese official household consumption, which accounts for half of GDP. The findings are condemning. Not only do the various official explanations offered between 1997 and 2001 differ from each other, but none allows the researcher to accurately reconstruct household consumption. Furthermore, the relationship between the GDP component household consumption and the underlying data varies from year to year, which suggests that time series comparisons of Chinese GDP may be invalid.

Key words: Chinese statistics; National income accounting; System of National Accounts (SNA); Household surveys; Population statistics』

1. Introduction
2. Data
3. NIA consumption components and underlying household survey data
 3.1. Rural own account consumption
 3.2. Commodity consumption
 3.3. Cultural and personal service consumption
 3.4. Housing, water, and electricity consumption
 3.5. Additional NIA consumption items
4. Implications of aggregate data
5. Problems with underlying population data
6. Conclusions
References


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