『Abstract
This paper traces the historical evolution and spatial disparity
of CO2 emissions from passenger transport
in China. The general trends of CO2 emissions from four passenger
transport modes are estimated by both the distance-based and fuel-based
methods. The results suggest that CO2 emissions
from road transport represented the leading source of passenger
transport CO2 emissions in China. Moreover,
they have continued to grow rapidly. Air transport was the second
largest contributor since 1998. Emissions from rail and water
transport have remained relatively stable with lower emission
intensity. At the provincial level, great regional disparity was
noticeable, especially in road transport. Moreover, the decomposition
analysis shows that income growth was the principal factor leading
to the growth of passenger transport CO2
emissions in China for both the 1949-1979 and 1980-2009 periods.
The second most important factor was increased transport intensity
and modal shifts for the former and the latter period, respectively.
The main factor contributed to emission reduction was the lower
emission intensity supported by policies, although the effect
was weak. In the future, more policies to encourage modal shifts
toward sustainable transport modes and travel reduction should
be encouraged.
Keywords: CO2 emissions; Sustainable passenger
transport; China』
1. Introduction
2. Methodology
3. National CO2 emissions from passenger
travel
3.1. Distance-based method
3.2. Fuel-based method
3.3. Insights from the two methods
4. Provincial CO2 emissions from passenger
transport
5. Factors influencing transport CO2 emissions
in China
6. Conclusions and suggestions
Acknowledgements
Appendix A. The LMDI formulae for each factor in the decomposition
analysis in this paper are as follows.
References