Li,H.-q., Wang,L.-m., Shen,L. and Chen,F.-n.(2012): Study on the potential of low carbon energy development and its contribution to realize the reduction target of carbon intensity in China. Energy Policy, 41, 393-401.

『中国における低炭素エネルギーの開発の可能性と炭素強度の削減目標の現実化へのその貢献に関する研究』

『Abstract
　Appraising low carbon energy potential in China and studying its contribution to China's target of cutting CO2 emissions by 40-45% per unit of GDP by 2020 is crucial for taking countermeasures against climate change and identifying low carbon energy development strategies. This paper presents two scenarios and evaluates the development potential for low carbon energy and its various sources. Based on the evaluation, we analyze how low carbon energy contributes to achieving China's national target of carbon intensity reduction. We draw several conclusions from the analysis. First, low carbon energy ill contribute 9.74% (minimum) to 24.42% (maximum) toward the 2020 carbon intensity target under three economic development schemes, Second, the contribution will decrease when the GDP growth rate increases. Third, to maintain the same contribution with high GDP growth rates, China should not only strengthen its investment and policy stimulation for low carbon energy but also simultaneously optimize economic structures and improve carbon productivity.

Keywords: Low carbon energy; Carbon intensity reduction; Contribution』

1. Introduction
2. Scenario analysis of china's low carbon energy development
　2.1. Development status
　2.2. Previous scenarios
　2.3. Scenarios definition
　2.4. Main assumptions in the scenario settings
　2.5. Methods for calculation
3. Potential of China's low carbon energy development
　3.1. Technical parameters
　3.2. The overall potential of fossil energy substituted by low carbon energy
　3.3. Potential of fossil energy substituted in different terminal fields
　3.4. Potential of fossil energy substituted by different low carbon energy sources
4. The contribution of low carbon energy development to reaching China's carbon intensity reduction target
　4.1. The incremental potential of carbon reduction by low carbon energy in 2020
　4.2. GDP and carbon emission projections during 2010-2020
　4.3. Contribution of low carbon energy to achieving carbon intensity reduction target
5. Conclusion
6. Discussion
Acknowledgments
Appendix
References

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