Jayanthakumaran,K., Verma,R. and Liu,Y.(2012): CO2 emissions, energy consumption, trade and income: A comparative analysis of China and India. Energy Policy, 42, 450-460.

『二酸化炭素排出とエネルギー消費と貿易と収入:中国とインドの比較分析』


Abstract
 In order to prevent the destabilisation of the Earth's biosphere, CO2 emissions must be reduced quickly and significantly. The cause of CO2 emissions by individual countries need to be apprehended in order to understand the processes required for reducing emissions around the globe. China and India are the two largest transitional countries and growing economies, but are in two entirely different categories in terms of structural changes in growth, trade and energy use. CO2 emissions from the burning of fossil fuels have significantly increased in the recent past. This paper compares China and India using the bounds testing approach to cointegration and the ARDL methodology to test the long- and short-run relationships between growth, trade, energy use and endogenously determined structural breaks. The CO2 emissions in China were influenced by per capita income, structural changes and energy consumption. A similar causal connection cannot be established for India with regard to structural changes and CO2 emissions, because India's informal economy is much larger than China's. India possesses an extraordinarily large number of micro-enterprises that are low energy consumers and not competitive enough to reach international markets. Understanding these contrasting scenarios is prerequisite to reaching an international agreement on climate change affecting these two countries.

Keywords: CO2 emissions; Energy consumption; Environmental Kuznets curve (EKC)』

1. Introduction
2. A comparison of the structural changes in China and India
3. Literature review
4. Econometric specifications

 4.1. Estimation
 4.2. Unit root tests with structural breaks
 4.3. Bounds testing approach to cointegration
5. Empirical results
 5.1. Unit root tests with structural breaks in China and India
 5.2. Bounds testing approach to cointegration
6. Conclusions
Appendix
References


戻る