Guo,J., Zhang,Z. and Meng,L.(2012): China's provincial CO2 emissions embodied in international and interprovincial trade. Energy Policy, 42, 486-497.

『国際および省間貿易で示された中国の各省の二酸化炭素排出』


Abstract
 Trades create a mechanism of embodied CO2 emissions transfer among regions, causing distortion on the total emissions. As the world's second largest economy, China has a large scale of trade, which results in the serious problem of embodied CO2 emissions transfer.This paper analyzes the characteristics of China's CO2 emissions embodied in international and interprovincial trade from the provincial perspective. The multi-regional Input-Output Model is used to clarify provincial CO2 emissions from geographical and sectoral dimensions, including 30 provinces and 28 sectors. Two calculating principles (production accounting principle and consumption accounting principle, Munksgaard and Pedersen 2001) are applied. The results show that for international trade, the eastern areas accounts for a large proportion in China's embodied CO2 emissions. The sectors as net exporters and importers of embodied CO2 emissions belong to labor-intensive and energy-intensive industries, respectively. For interprovincial trade, the net transfer of embodied CO2 emissions is from the eastern area to the central area, and energy-intensive industries are the main contributors. With the largest amount of direct CO2 emissions, the eastern area plays an important role in CO2 emissions reduction. The central and western areas need supportive policies to avoid the transfer of industries with high emissions.

Keywords: Embodied CO2 emissions; Multi-regional IO model; CO2 emissions accounting principle』

1. Introduction
2. Methodology and data
 2.1. Calculation method
 2.2. Data sources and preparation
3. CO2 emissions embodied in trade
 3.1. CO2 emissions embodied in international trade
  3.1.1. Geographical analysis
  3.1.2. Sectoral analysis
  3.1.3. Comprehensive analysis
 3.2. CO2 emissions embodied in interprovincial trade
  3.2.1. Geographical analysis
  3.2.2. Sectoral analysis
  3.2.3. Comprehensive analysis
4. Discussion on provincial CO2 emissions under different principles
 4.1. Comparison of CO2 emissions under two different principles
 4.2. China's provincial emissions in the base year of CO2 emissions reduction target
5. Aggregation uncertainty analysis
6. Conclusions
Acknowledgments
Appendix A
Appendix B
References


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