『Abstract
In late 2009, the Chinese government committed to cut its carbon
dioxide emissions per unit of gross domestic product (GDP) by
40% to 45% of 2005 levels by 2020. This has raised the issue of
how to allocate the CO2 reduction target
regionally to meet the national reduction target. To meet this
objective, the following aspects may be taken into consideration:
equity principles, ‘common but differentiated responsibilities’;
intensity reduction target fulfillment; and economic difference
and reduction potential among provinces. This paper selects per
capita GDP, accumulated fossil fuel related CO2
emissions and energy consumption per unit of industrial added
value as indicators for emission reduction capacity, responsibility
and potential, respectively. Based on these three indicators,
a comprehensive index is developed and an intensity allocation
model constructed. As decision makers may have different preferences
when allocating the reduction burden, we allocate different weights
to the indicators, analyzing the results using cluster analysis.
The following aspects may also be considered together with the
national regional development strategy to determine how to share
the burden: the reduction potential of various regions; implementation
potential of the plans; and promotion of a highly efficient low
carbon economic development model.
Keywords: CO2 intensity; Equity; Reduction
target allocation』
1. Introduction
2. Indicator selection and allocation method of China's intensity
reduction target
2.1. Definition of the equity principles
2.2. Basic assumptions
2.3. Comprehensive index construction
2.4. Allocation of China's 2020 intensity reduction target
2.5. Data source and processing
3. Results and discussion
3.1. Intensity reduction target allocation to provinces
3.2. Preferring capacity
3.3. Preferring responsibility
3.4. Preferring potential
4. Conclusions and policy implications
Acknowledgements
Appendix A
Appendix B
References