Wang,S.S., Zhou,D.Q., Zhou,P. and Wang,Q.W.(2011): CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in China: A panel data analysis. Energy Policy, 39, 4870-4875.

『中国の二酸化炭素排出・エネルギー消費・経済成長:パネル・データ分析』


Abstract
 This paper examines the causal relationships between carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and real economic output using panel cointegration and panel vector error correction modeling techniques based on the panel data for 28 provinces in China over the period 1995-2007. Our empirical results show that CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth have appeared to be cointegrated. Moreover, there exists bidirectional causality between CO2 emissions and energy consumption, and also between energy consumption and economic growth. It has also been found that energy consumption and economic growth are the long-run causes for CO2 emissions and CO2 emissions and economic growth are the long-run causes for energy consumption. The results indicate that China's CO2 emissions will not decrease in a long period of time and reducing CO2 emissions may handicap China's economic growth to some degree. Some policy implications of the empirical results have finally been proposed.

Keywords: Carbon dioxide emissions; Energy consumption; Economic growth

1. Introduction
2. Data and model
3. Econometric analysis and results
 3.1. Panel unit root tests
 3.2. Panel cointegration tests
 3.3. Panel Granger causality tests
 3.4. Comparison with three relevant studies
4. Conclusion and policy implications
Acknowledgments
References


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