wAbstract
@Under the pressure of global warming, it is imperative for Chinese
government to impose effective policy instruments to promote domestic
energy saving and carbon emissions reduction. As one of the most
important incentive-based policy instruments, carbon tax has sparked
a lively controversy in China. This paper explores the impact
of carbon tax on Chinese economy, as well as the cushion effects
of the complementary policies, by constructing a dynamic recursive
general equilibrium model. The model can describe the new equilibrium
for each sequential independent period (e.g. one year) after carbon
tax and the complementary policies are imposed, and thus describe
the long-term impacts of the policies. The simulation results
show that carbon tax is an effective policy tool because it can
reduce carbon emissions with a little negative impact on economic
growth; reducing indirect tax in the meantime of imposing carbon
tax will help to reduce the negative impact of the tax on production
and competitiveness; in addition, giving households subsidy in
the meantime will help to stimulate household consumptions. Therefore,
complementary policies used together with carbon tax will help
to cushion the negative impacts of carbon tax on economy. The
dynamic CGE analysis shows the impact of carbon tax policy on
the GDP is relatively small, but the reduction of carbon emission
is relatively large.
Keywords: Carbon tax; China; Complementary policyx
1. Introduction
2. The model, data and simulation
@2.1. The THCGE-DR model
@2.2. The data
@2.3. Simulation scenarios
@@2.3.1. Static analysis scenarios
@@2.3.2. Dynamic analysis scenarios
3. Simulation results
@3.1. Simulation results for scenario 1
@3.2. Simulation results for scenario 2
@3.3. Simulation results for dynamic scenario
4. Conclusion
Acknowledgement
Reference