『Abstract
Recently battery leasing has been introduced into the market
by automobile manufactures and power suppliers due to its potential
to reduce the purchase cost of electric vehicles (EVs). However,
the profit prospect of battery leasing is still uncertain. This
paper takes the views of both the operators and consumers and
calculates the ‘win-win’ marginal rent, which not only ensures
the profitability of operators, but also allows consumers a lower
expenditure than using Internal combustion engine vehicles (ICVs)
and EVs with embedded batteries. Battery cost, vehicle weight,
gasoline and electricity price, and the discount rate have impacts
on the rent. Battery cost plays a dominant role and a battery
cost > 5 \/W h fails to enable the survival of battery leasing
to all types of EVs. Battery leasing would be more competitive
when focusing on heavier EVs. At least one of the three thresholds
is required for the existence of rent pricing range for a 1000
kg EV: gasoline retail price > 6\/L, electricity price < 0.6 \/kW
h, or the discount rate <7%. Typically, the feasible battery rent
range is 0.34-0.38 \/W h/year for a 1000 kg EV under the present
battery cost 2 \/W h and China current gasoline and electricity
prices.
Keywords: Win-win marginal rent; EV battery leasing; China market』
1. Introduction
2. Requirement of independent profitability for the BLO
3. Profitability margin of the BLO
4. Benefit margin of consumers
4.1. Expenditure difference between using the EV with battery
rental and using the ICV
4.1.1. Total expenditure to buy and use the ICV
4.1.2. Total expenditure to buy nude EV and rent battery
4.1.2.1. Calculation of nude EV price
4.1.2.2. Calculation of rent fee
4.1.2.3. Calculation of electricity fee
4.2. Expenditure difference between using the EV with battery
rental and with embedded batteries
5. Formula analysis and parameter value assignment
5.1. Parameters correlation
5.1.1. Correlation between fuel/energy consumption and vehicle
weight
5.1.2. Correlation between battery cost and battery life
5.1.3. Cost variance between the BLO and individual battery
buyers
5.1.4. Disposal income
5.2. Parameter value assignment
5.2.1. Annual travel distance s
5.2.2. EV range So
5.2.3. Maintenance cost of the BLO
5.2.4. Current gasoline price, electricity price, and discount
rate in China
5.3. new formula forms
6. Marginal rent analysis
6.1. Three-dimensional analysis under China current prices
6.2. Effect of battery cost on marginal rent
6.3. Effect of vehicle weight on marginal rent
6.4. Effect of gasoline price on marginal rent
6.5. Effect of electricity price on marginal rent
6.6. Effect of discount rate on marginal rent
7. Sensitivity analysis
7.1. The approximation of the price difference between nude
EV and ICV
7.2. Curve fitting deviation
7.3. Consumer habits
7.4. Battery maintenance and disposal
7.5. Battery cost and maintenance fee for individual buyers
8. Conclusions
Acknowledgments
References