『Abstract
As China starts to build 6 10-GW wind zones in 5 provinces by
2020, accommodating the wind electricity generated from these
large wind zones will be a great challenge for the regional grids.
Inadequate wind observing data hinders profiling the wind power
fluctuations at the regional grid level. This paper proposed a
method to assess the seasonal and diurnal wind power patterns
based on the wind speed data from the NASA GEOS-5 DAS system,
which provides data to the study of climate processes including
the long-term estimates of meteorological quantities. The wind
power fluctuations for the 6 largest wind zones in China are presented
with both the capacity factor and the megawatt wind power output.
The measured hourly wind output in a regional grid is compared
to the calculating result to test the analyzing model. To investigate
the offsetting effect of dispersed wind farms over large regions,
the regional correlations of hourly wind power fluctuations are
calculated. The result illustrates the different offsetting effects
of minute and hourly fluctuations.
Keywords: Wind power; Fluctuation; Correlation』
1. Introduction
2. The patterns of wind power fluctuation in China
2.1. Method
2.2. Result checking with measured hourly data
2.3. The monthly and diurnal wind power fluctuations
2.4. Seasonal variations of diurnal wind power fluctuations
2.5. Correlations among regions
3. Discussion
4. Conclusion
Acknowledgments
References