Wang,B., Kocaoglu,D.F., Daim,T.U. and Yang,J.(2010): A decision model for energy resource selection in China. Energy Policy, 38, 7130-7141.

『中国におけるエネルギー資源選択のための判定モデル』


Abstract
 This paper evaluates coal, petroleum, natural gas, nuclear energy and renewable energy resources as energy alternatives for China through use of a hierarchical decision model. The results indicate that although coal is still the major preferred energy alternative, it is followed closely by renewable energy. The sensitivity analysis indicates that the most critical criterion for energy selection is the current energy infrastructure. A hierarchical decision model is used, and expert judgments are quantified, to evaluate the alternatives. Criteria used for the evaluation are availability, current energy infrastructure, price, safety, environmental impacts and social impacts.

Keywords: Evaluation; Hierarchical decision model; China』

1. Introduction and background
2. Research methodology
3. HDM models in the energy sector
4. Research questions and model building
5. Criteria and subcriteria
 5.1. Availability
 5.2. Current energy infrastructure
 5.3. Price
 5.4. Safety
 5.5. Environmental impact
 5.6. Social impact
6. Identification of experts
7. Results
8. Discussion
9. Conclusions and limitations
Appendix. Background on calculations for the availability subcriteria
References


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