『Abstract
This paper evaluates coal, petroleum, natural gas, nuclear energy
and renewable energy resources as energy alternatives for China
through use of a hierarchical decision model. The results indicate
that although coal is still the major preferred energy alternative,
it is followed closely by renewable energy. The sensitivity analysis
indicates that the most critical criterion for energy selection
is the current energy infrastructure. A hierarchical decision
model is used, and expert judgments are quantified, to evaluate
the alternatives. Criteria used for the evaluation are availability,
current energy infrastructure, price, safety, environmental impacts
and social impacts.
Keywords: Evaluation; Hierarchical decision model; China』
1. Introduction and background
2. Research methodology
3. HDM models in the energy sector
4. Research questions and model building
5. Criteria and subcriteria
5.1. Availability
5.2. Current energy infrastructure
5.3. Price
5.4. Safety
5.5. Environmental impact
5.6. Social impact
6. Identification of experts
7. Results
8. Discussion
9. Conclusions and limitations
Appendix. Background on calculations for the availability subcriteria
References