『Abstract
The aim of this study was to assess the current situation of
the forest bio-energy development in China. This assessment is
based on opinions of Chinese academic experts. key drivers and
uncertainties regarding the implementation, and the strategies
for the future practices in the development of forest bio-energy
were investigated. In addition, the purpose of this study was
also to determine whether there is a consensus among the experts
concerning forest bio-energy and if this consensus agrees with
policy-makers in China. A thorough assessment was conducted using
a two-round Delphi survey of sixty-one bio-energy experts in China.
The results revealed the advantages, potential problems, and the
experts' recommendations for the future development. Furthermore,
the experts agreed that the Chinese government plays a dominant
role in the development process of forest bio-energy in the country.
The experts recognized that the process of developing forest bio-energy
is a challenging task both domestically and globally. At the same
time they also highlighted the potential benefits of developing
forest bio-energy in China during the next ten years. The outcomes
of this study could be used to give advice to policy-makers and
to support the implementation of the future forest bio-energy
policies in China.
Keywords: Academic experts; Delphi survey; Forest bio-energy』
1. Introduction
2. Method
2.1. Delphi method
2.2. Study population
2.3. Survey design
2.3.1. Pilot questionnaire
2.3.2. First round questionnaire
2.3.3. The second round questionnaire
2.4. Data analysis
3. Results
3.1. Social-demographic characteristics of the respondents
3.2. Key drivers
3.3. Advantages and potential problems
3.3.1. Advantages
3.3.2. Potential problems
3.4. Evaluation of recommendations
3.5. The role of different sectors and Chinese government in
the development of forest bio-energy
3.6. Future development of forest bio-energy in China
4. Discussion
4.1. Experts' opinions and their socio-demography
4.2. The assessment of the current development of forest bio-energy
in China
4.3. The strong role of government in the future development
of forest bio-energy
5. Conclusions
Acknowledgements
Appendix: The first round questionnaire
References