wAbstract
@This paper investigates the causal relationship between urban
population, real GDP, electricity production and coal consumption
in China for the period 1971-2009. Using a vector autoregression
framework and a modified version of the Granger (1969) causality
test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (J. Econ. 66 (1995) 225), the
results suggest that there is causality running from GDP to coal
consumption. The variance decomposition analysis report that urban
population and coal affect electricity production variability
over the forecast period. We also find that increasing urban population
may negatively affect China's GDP over time. Policy measures aimed
at influencing GDP could ultimately affect coal consumption.
Keywords: China; Coal; Populationx
1. Introduction
2, Literature review
3. The data and the model
4. Empirical results
5. Concluding remarks
Acknowledgment
References