『Abstract
It is crucial that China's renewable energy national target in
2020 is effectively decomposed into respective period targets
at the provincial level. In order to resolve problems arising
from combining the national and local renewable energy development
plan, a total target and period target decomposition model of
renewable energy is proposed which considers the resource distribution
and energy consumption of different provinces as well as the development
characteristics of various renewable energy industries. In the
model, the total proposed target is comprised of three shares:
basic share, fixed share and floating share target. The target
distributed for each province is then determined by the preference
relation. That is, when total renewable energy target is distributed,
the central government is more concerned about resources potential
or energy consumption. Additionally, the growth models for various
renewable energy industries are presented, and the period targets
of renewable energy in various provinces are proposed in line
with regional economic development targets. In order to verify
whether the energy target can be achieved, only wind power, solar
power, and hydropower are considered in this study. To convenient
to assess the performance of local government, the two year period
is chosen as an evaluation cycle in the paper. The renewable energy
targets per two-year period for each province are calculated based
on the overall national renewable energy target, energy requirements
and resources distribution. Setting provincial period targets
will help policy makers to better implement and supervise the
overall renewable energy plan.
Keywords: Renewable energy; Target decomposition; Provincial plan』
1. Introduction
2. The targets decomposition model of renewable energy
2.1. The overview of targets decomposition model for renewable
energy
2.2. Target decomposition model of renewable energy
2.3. The coordination factor between the energy demand and resource
volume
2.4. The growth model of renewable energy industry
2.5. Analysis of the growth curve for the renewable energy industry
3. China renewable energy planning target decomposition
3.1. Coordination of factors affect the selection of planning
objectives
3.2. The decomposition of the national renewable energy targets
3.3. To determine the renewable energy stage targets
4. The result and development
Acknowledgement
References