Leung,G.C.K.(2010): China's oil use, 1990-2008. Energy Policy, 38, 932-944.

『中国の石油使用、1990〜2008年』


Abstract
 Over the past two decades, China's oil demand has risen steeply. In 1990, t was only about 25% higher than that of 1978, the year economic reform was introduced. By 2008, it had reached 396.0 million tons, roughly four times the 1978 level, making China the second largest oil user worldwide. The country became a net oil importer in 1993, and between 1993 and 2008, its net import dependency - a yardstick for energy security - soared from 7.5% to 50.0%. China's increased demand for oil has made the country a global energy player of critical importance. Although the literature on the global implications of China's oil use has proliferated, relatively few studies have attempted to examine “how China uses oil.” Hence, this study covers every oil-consuming facility and sector in China, exploring the patterns of, and factors involved in, oil demand by power plants, oil refineries, heat plants and, gas-works, and industrial, transport, agricultural, household and commercial sectors. It concludes that in virtually all sectors in China, oil demand will grow, with transport and industry leading the way.

Keywords: Oil; Sectoral consumption; China』

1. Introduction
2. China's oil economy
3. Transformation consumption of oil
 3.1. Refinery oil use
 3.2. Power generation oil use
 3.3. Heat supply and gas-works oil use
4. End-use consumption of oil
 4.1. Industrial oil use
 4.2. Transport oil use
 4.3. Agricultural oil use
 4.4. Household and commercial oil use
5. Concluding remarks
References

表1 中国の一次エネルギー消費とその内訳*、1990〜2008年
出典:中国統計年報2008、CD-ROM
  合計
(Mtce)
石炭
(%)
石油
(%)
天然ガス
(%)
一次電力**
(%)
1990 987.0 76.2 16.6 2.1 5.1
1991 1037.8 76.1 17.1 2.0 4.8
1992 1091.7 75.7 17.5 1.9 4.9
1993 1159.9 74.7 18.2 1.9 5.2
1994 1227.4 75.0 17.4 1.9 5.7
1995 1311.8 74.6 17.5 1.8 6.1
1996 1389.5 74.7 18.0 1.8 5.5
1997 1378.0 71.7 20.4 1.7 6.2
1998 1322.1 69.6 21.5 2.2 6.7
1999 1338.3 69.1 22.6 2.1 6.2
2000 1385.5 67.8 23.2 2.4 6.7
2001 1432.0 66.7 22.9 2.6 7.9
2002 1518.0 66.3 23.4 2.6 7.7
2003 1749.9 68.4 22.2 2.6 6.8
2004 2031.3 68.0 22.3 2.6 7.1
2005 2233.2 69.1 21.0 2.8 7.1
2006 2462.7 69.4 20.4 3.0 7.2
2007 2654.8 69.5 19.7 3.5 7.3
2008 2850.0 68.7 18.7 3.8 8.9
中国統計要約2009、145ページ。
* 商業エネルギーのみが含まれるが、非商業バイオマスエネルギーが中国の地方においては依然として特に広く消費されていることに注意。1990年では263.0 Mtceで、2007年では263.0 Mtceである。
** 一次電力には、水力・原子力・風力発電が含まれる。商業エネルギーのみ。

Mtce=100万トン石炭換算

表2 中国の石油生産量・消費量・貿易量、1990〜2008年
  石油生産量
(Mt)
石油消費量
(Mt)
石油輸入量
(Mt)
石油輸出量
(Mt)
正味の石油輸入量
(Mt)
正味の輸入依存率*
(%)
1990 138.3 114.9 7.6 31.1 -23.5 -20.5
1991 141.0 123.8 12.5 29.3 -16.8 -13.6
1992 142.1 133.6 21.2 28.6 -7.3 -5.5
1993 145.2 147.2 36.2 25.1 11.1 7.5
1994 146.1 149.5 29.0 23.8 5.2 3.5
1995 150.1 160.6 36.7 24.5 12.2 7.6
1996 157.3 174.3 45.4 27.0 18.4 10.6
1997 160.7 194.1 67.9 28.2 39.7 20.5
1998 161.0 198.2 57.4 23.3 34.1 17.2
1999 160.0 210.7 64.8 16.4 48.4 23.0
2000 163.0 224.4 97.5 21.7 75.8 33.8
2001 164.0 228.4 91.2 20.5 70.7 31.0
2002 167.0 247.9 102.7 21.4 81.3 32.8
2003 169.6 271.3 131.9 25.4 106.5 39.3
2004 175.9 317.0 172.9 22.4 150.5 47.5
2005 181.4 325.3 171.6 28.9 142.8 43.9
2006 184.8 348.8 194.5 26.3 168.3 48.2
2007 186.3 366.5 211.4 26.6 184.8 50.4
2008** 197.8 396.0 - - 197.2 50.0
EIA(2009)、http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/country/country_energy_data.cfm?fips=CH
* 正味と輸入依存率とは、全石油消費量に対する正味の石油輸入量の割合
** EIA(2009)の見積り


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