Karlsson,R.(2012): Carbon lock-in, rebound effects and China at the limits of statism. Energy Policy, 51, 939-945.

『国家統制の限界にある中国および炭素閉じ込めとはね返り効果』


Abstract
 From the beginning, the statist frame of the Kyoto Protocol has invited a focus on national carbon budgets and piecemeal mitigation within rich countries. Despite the Clean Development Mechanism and other efforts to diffuse low carbon technologies to developing countries, China has over the last decades continued to construct hundreds of new thermal coal power plants leading not only to skyrocketing emissions in the present but also to long-term carbon lock-in. In light of this, China is likely to continue to put strong upward pressure on global emissions for many decades to come. Ignoring the seriousness of this situation, many rich countries have persisted to seek marginal improvements to intermittent low-energy sources such as wind power rather than taking the lead in developing breakthrough baseload technologies such as nuclear fusion. This paper argues that only such high-energy technologies, if made significantly cheaper than any fossil alternatives, will be capable of breaking the current carbon lock-in process in China and other developing countries.

Keywords: Carbon lock-in; Climate policy; Climate justice』

1. Introduction
2. Aim
3. China's industrial rise
4. Possible rebound effects
5. Meanwhile in the developed world
6. The radical critique and the paradox of urgency
7. Connecting the dots
Acknowledgments
References


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