『Abstract
　China's industrial transformation of the past thirty years, when its GDP has been increasing by an average of 10% per year, has been underpinned by an energy industrial revolution. Electrical energy is the driver of this transformation, with China utilizing latecomer advantages in building an electrical energy generation machine of prodigious size. In terms of electrical energy generated, China's system has expanded twelve-fold in 30 years, from 280 TWh in 1980 to over 3500 TWh in 2010. In this paper we describe the principal features to 2050, and offering our own projections based on observed logistic industrial dynamics for the uptake of renewable energies as well as the continuing role to be played by fossil fuels, particularly coal. We emphasize the role to be played by China's construction of a ‘strong and smart’ electric power grid, as envisaged in the 12th Five Year Plan released in March 2011, and the complementary proposals to build a national high speed rail system. We see China as on track to phase out fossil fuels altogether in its power production system by the end of the century. We develop an argument as to why it might be expected that fossil fuel utilization will decline while renewable energy utilization might increase in China, constituting a genuine energy industrial revolution.

Keywords: China; Electric power; Logistic industrial dynamics』

1. Introduction
2. Green and black electrical energy
3. Projections to 2050
4. ‘Strong and smart grid’ implementation 2010-2020
　4.1. A ‘strong grid’
　4.2. The ‘smart grid’
　4.3. The international battle over smart grid standards
5. China's high speed rail system as point of comparison
6. Upgrading and technological capability and efficiency of the thermal (coal) sector
7. Concluding comments: China's strategies for electric power development
References