Wang,Y., Gu,A. and Zhang,A.(2011): Recent development of energy supply and demand in China, and energy sector prospects through 2030. Energy Policy, 39, 6745-6759.

『中国におけるエネルギー需給の最近の進展および2030年までのエネルギー部門の見通し』


Abstract
 Facing multiple pressures, including its commitment to energy efficiency improvement, he current worldwide recession, and global warming concerns, China is making great efforts to maintain its continuous economic growth and reduce pollutant emissions. Many policies to encourage investing in energy efficiency and renewable energy have been issued. This article provides insights into the latest development of energy production, energy consumption and energy strategic planning and policies in China, and also describes the analysis, carried out by the authors as part of the Asian Energy Security project using the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) modeling tool, of the impacts of implementing new and expected energy and environmental policies.

Keywords: China; Energy; LEAP』

1. Introduction
 1.1. China in brief
 1.2. Overview of energy policy challenges facing China
2. Recent trends in energy production and consumption
 2.1. Energy resources
 2.2. Energy production
 2.3. Coal production
 2.4. Oil and gas production
 2.5. Primary electricity production
 2.6. Renewable energy utilization
 2.7. Thermal power plant capacity
 2.8. Power grid
 2.9. Energy imports and exports
 2.10. Energy consumption
3. New supply-side policy developments in China
 3.1. Renewables
 3.2. Nuclear power
 3.3. Oil stockpile
 3.4. Conventional energy
4. New policy developments on the demand-side
 4.1. Industry
 4.2. Buildings
 4.3. Transportation
 4.4. Climate change
5. Prospects for the future
 5.1. Overview of China's LEAP model
 5.2. Results for BAU scenario
 5.3. Scenario analysis and discussion
6. Conclusions and recommendations
References



Fig. 13. BAU scenario energy demand by sector, 2000-2030.


Fig. 16. BAU energy supply outputs by fuel, 2000-2030.

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