『Abstract
We examine the ‘resource curse’ using new data on historic resource
stocks and an improved econometric methodology. The paper distinguishes
between resource abundance (stocks) and extractive intensity (flows),
focusing on relationships between resources and rule of law. Previously
unavailable information on past resource stocks is estimated.
We find that economically large initial natural resource stocks
are associated with subsequent lower levels of rule of law and
do not directly affect growth, while raw resource exports do not
have a significant effect on rule of law when stocks are included
in the analysis but do affect average growth rates. Sample size
is maximized through the use of an EMis (expectation maximization
with importance sampling) algorithm to replace missing data, minimizing
the bias and inefficiency associated with listwise deletion, which
commonly eliminates half or more of the available data in this
setting.
Keywords: Cross-country comparisons; Multiple imputation; Resource
curse; Resource extraction; Resource stocks; Rule of law』
1. Introduction and background
2. Empirical issues and data
3. Analysis and empirical investigation
3.1. Missing data and multiple imputation
3.2. Robustness to additional conditioning variables
4. Conclusion
Appendix A: Data Sources
Appendix B: Minerals included in the composite measure of mineral
abundance
References