『Abstract
In this paper we argue that the political incentives that resource
endowments generate are the key to understanding whether or not
they are a curse. We show: (1) politicians tend to over-extract
natural resources relative to the efficient extraction path because
they discount the future too much, and (2) resource booms improve
the efficiency of the extraction path. However, (3) resource booms,
by raising the value of being in power and by providing politicians
with more resources which they can use to influence the outcome
of elections, increase resource misallocation in the rest of the
economy. (4) The overall impact of resource booms on the economy
depends critically on institutions since these determine the extent
to which political incentives map into policy outcomes. Countries
with institutions that promote accountability and state competence
will tend to benefit from resource booms since these institutions
ameliorate the perverse political incentives that such booms create.
Countries without such institutions however may suffer from a
resource curse.
Keywords: Natural resources; Political economy; Clientelism』
1. Introduction
2. The model
2.1. Credible policies
2.2. Equilibrium policy
3. Extension: dictatorship
4. The nature of the resource curse
4.1. Resource booms improve the efficiency of the extraction
path
4.2. Resource booms lead to politically motivated expansions
of the public sector
4.3. Institutional foundations of the resource curse
5. Concluding remarks
References