『Abstract
Recent studies have found that natural resources and civil war
are highly correlated. Yet the causal mechanisms behind the correlation
are not well understood, in part because data on civil wars is
scarce and of poor quality. In this article I examine thirteen
recent civil wars to explore the mechanisms behind the resource-conflict
correlation. I describe seven hypotheses about how resources may
influence a conflict, specify the observable implications of each,
and report which mechanisms can be observed in a sample of thirteen
civil wars in which natural resources were “most likely” to have
played a role. I find that two of the most widely cited causally
linked to conflict, but legal agricultural commodities are not;
and that resource wealth and civil war are linked by a variety
of mechanisms, including several that others had not identified.』
(Introduction)
hypotheses about resources and conflict
Onset of civil war
Duration
Intensity
Case selection
Results from case studies
Incidence of conflict: Evidence
Duration of conflict: Evidence
Intensity of conflict: Evidence
Unexpected mechanisms
Conclusion
References