『Abstract
Studies of oxygen isotopes in foraminifers from deepsea sediments
yield information about rates of change of sea level, for hundreds
of thousands of years with a resolution of roughly 1,000 years.
The statistics regarding fluctuations for the late Quaternary
(the last 900,000 years) suggest that a rise of 10 m per 1,000
years (1 m per century) is not unusual, even when the system resides
within a warm stage, as now. Values near 2 m per century, while
rare, are well within the range of a warm system, beyond the 5-percentile
of the overall range. Once sea level is near +10 m, further rise
becomes highly unlikely within the conditions of the late quaternary,
suggesting the presence of some kind of natural barrier; that
is, lack of vulnerable ice. The present volume of ice generally
considered vulnerable )Greenland and West-Antarctic ice sheet)
adds up (roughly) to the observed limit.
Keywords: Sea level; Deep sea sediments; West antarctic ice sheet』
Introduction
Data sets and methods
Statistical patterns and implications
Conclusions and relevance
Open Access
References