『Abstract
The relationship between oil and nuclear energy in the global
energy scene over the past 50 years is analysed. The former nuclear-oil
product competition in power generation and various end-use markets
is found to have transformed into a complementary relationship.
current concerns associated with both energy sources and related
technologies, including price volatility, supply security, geopolitical
sensitivity, depletion alarms, and environmental pollution issues
for oil, economic performance, operational safety, proliferation,
terrorism, radioactive waste disposal, and the resulting public
acceptance for nuclear are examined as determinants of their roles
in the world energy balance. An assessment of the long-term prospects
for oil and nuclear energy is presented at the scale of a century
to support further economic and energy policy analyses. It is
the first in-depth study of global energy projections based on
a comparative examination of long-term socio-economic scenarios
and their coordinated quantifications by a set of integrated energy-economy
models.
Keywords: Oil; Nuclear energy; Long-term scenarios』
1. Introduction
2. The past: from competitors to complements
2.1. Electricity generation
2.2. Indirect competition
3. The present: market positions and public concerns
4. The future: opportunities and uncertainties
5. Summary and conclusions
Acknowledgements
References