Patzek,T.W. and Croft,G.D.(2011): The key coal producers Online supporting materials to a global coal production forecast with multi-Hubbert cycle analysis. 35p.

『重要な石炭生産者 多重ハバート・サイクル分析による世界の石炭生産予想に対するオンライン・サポートデータ』


1. China
2. USA
3. FSU (Former Soviet Union)
4. Australia
5. Former German Empire
6. The United Kingdom
7. India
8. South Africa
9. Indonesia
10. Mongolia
References
[9] Mohr,S.H. and Evans,G.M.(2009): Forecasting coal production until 2100. Fuel, 88(11), 2059-2067. dOI:10.106/j.fuel.2009.01.032.



Figure 1: The best multi-Hubbert cycle match of the historical cumulative production of anthracite, bituminous, and lignite coal in China. The year of peak production is 2011, and the ultimate coal production is 146.5 Gt. The broad base peak is in the year 2019. Data source: Supplemental Materials to Mohr and Evans (2009) [9].


Figure 2: The best multi-Hubbert cycle match of the historical rate of production of anthracite, bituminous, and lignite coal in China. Data source: Supplemental Materials to Mohr and Evans (2009) [9].


Figure 3: The best multi-Hubbert cycle match of the historical rate of CO2 emissions in China. The predicted emission peak in the year 2011 is 7 Gt CO2/y. Data source: Supplemental Materials to Mohr and Evans (2009) [9].


Figure 4: The best multi-Hubbert cycle match of the historical cumulative CO2 emissions in China. The year of peak emissions is 2011, and the ultimate emissions are 360 Gt of CO2. Data source: Supplemental Materials to Mohr and Evans (2009) [9].

Patzek and Croft(2011)による『The key coal producers Online supporting materials to a global coal production forecast with multi-Hubbert cycle analysis』から


戻る