『Abstract
Energy is the lynchpin of modern society. Since the early 1970s,
growing dependence on foreign energy sources, oil in particular,
has constrained US independence in foreign policy, and at times,
inhibited economic stability and growth. Addressing oil dependence
is politically and economically complex. Proposed solutions are
multifaceted with various objectives such as energy efficiency
and resource substitution. One solution is the partial transition
from an oil- to coal-based economy. A number of facts support
this solution including vast coal reserves in the US and the relative
price stability of coal. However, several roadblocks exist. These
include uncertain recoverable reserves and the immaturity of “clean”
coal technologies. This paper provides a first order analysis
of the most efficient use of coal assuming the transition from
oil to coal is desirable. Scenario analysis indicates two possible
transition pathways: (1) bring the transportation sector onto
the electric grid and (2) use coal-to-liquid fuels to directly
power vehicles. The feasibility of each pathway is examined based
on economic and environmental factors, among which are energy
availability, affordability and efficiency, and environmental
sustainability. Results indicate that partial transition of the
transportation sector onto the electric grid offers the more viable
solution for coal-based reduction of the US oil dependence.
Keywords: Clean coal; Oil dependence; Energy security』
1. Introduction
2. Dimensions of energy security
3. Coal as an option
4. Analysis
4.1. Coal-to-liquids analysis
4.1.1. Affect on affordability
4.1.2. Affect of efficiency
4.1.3. Affect on sustainability
4.2. Transportation to electricity analysis
4.2.1. Affect on affordability
4.2.2. Affect on efficiency
4.2.3. Affect on sustainability
5. Conclusion
References